TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13052978
Played Aug 31Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117116114––
Martin Sulc
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4
68 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 20–20 Martin Sulc Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.73 / Sulc 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13052978
Jr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 57 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Sulc2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 74 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwaySulc4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%4 of 6
AwaySulc50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Sulc4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Sulc4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Sulc4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr2Sulc2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSulcJ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.531.7+0.8per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 782 vs 338 / 64648.5%52.3%379 / 782 vs 338 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.73/Sulc 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr—1113113M. Sulc—81160
LAug 17 · 14:40V. Jr—2450M. Sulc—1111113
LAug 17 · 12:25V. Jr—1123101M. Sulc—91111123
WAug 17 · 09:25V. Jr—1111113M. Sulc—2990
WAug 11 · 14:40V. Jr—611118113M. Sulc—11771192
LAug 11 · 13:25V. Jr—11681282M. Sulc—7111110113
WAug 10 · 12:50V. Jr—1111113M. Sulc—4520
WAug 7 · 07:25V. Jr—1112123M. Sulc—710100
LAug 3 · 12:50V. Jr—7630M. Sulc—1111113
WAug 1 · 17:25V. Jr—111111113M. Sulc—131881
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:20V. Jr2.3891180A. Rek1.531113113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:50J. Vonasek1.401111113M. Sulc2.758350
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