TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060561
Played Sep 2Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111210511711––
Jan Vonasek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Vonasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Jan Vonasek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Vonasek at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 43–54 Jan Vonasek Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 43 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vonasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-54 in 97
Vonasek
Correct
gap of 11 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1613 vs Vonasek 1603
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 100% vs Vonasek 80%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 70% vs Vonasek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +5 · Vonasek +1
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vonasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Vonasek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13060561
Jr2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 89 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Vonasek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 80 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayVonasek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVonasek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%4 of 6
AwayVonasek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Vonasek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr3Vonasek7n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S3Jr4Vonasek6n = 10Vonasek took 6 of 10
S4Jr5Vonasek4n = 9Jr took 5 of 9
S5Jr2Vonasek3n = 5Vonasek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrVonasekJ − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.744.4−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVonasekBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 787 vs 354 / 72048.8%49.2%384 / 787 vs 354 / 720Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VonasekJr 2.00/Vonasek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vonasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vonasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 10:20V. Jr—135150J. Vonasek—1511173
LAug 27 · 13:25V. Jr—41181192J. Vonasek—118117113
WAug 26 · 09:25V. Jr—11129123J. Vonasek—81011101
WAug 17 · 12:55V. Jr—13712113J. Vonasek—11111091
LAug 7 · 10:29V. Jr—11911882J. Vonasek—711711113
LAug 7 · 08:25V. Jr—11871562J. Vonasek—9111113113
LJun 3 · 08:25V. Jr—861181J. Vonasek—11117113
WMay 22 · 10:00V. Jr—116118143J. Vonasek—811211122
LMay 22 · 08:25V. Jr—5111241J. Vonasek—11314113
WMay 12 · 08:25V. Jr—114711123J. Vonasek—811118102
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:20V. Jr2.3891180A. Rek1.531113113
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113
Upcoming Matches
V. Jr
J. Vonasek
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