TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063969
Played Sep 2Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114118––––
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAles Langer above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 52–53 Vaclav Hejda Jr Ales Langer has won 52 of their 105 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-53 in 105
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1582 vs Jr 1591
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 0% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -5 · Jr -2
Langer
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.80 / Jr 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13063969
Langer1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 70 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Jr1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 89 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger2wins
AwayJr8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger66.7%2 of 3
AwayJr100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Langer6Jr4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S3Langer4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Langer4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S5Langer0Jr3n = 3Jr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerJrL − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.942.0−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerJrBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 516 vs 384 / 78948.6%48.7%251 / 516 vs 384 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrLanger 1.80/Jr 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer—11101251V. Jr—131210113
LAug 27 · 14:35A. Langer—8115101V. Jr—11611123
WAug 27 · 11:55A. Langer—11911113V. Jr—711251
LAug 26 · 10:40A. Langer—911881V. Jr—11811113
WAug 26 · 07:55A. Langer—11128123V. Jr—41011101
LAug 25 · 08:55A. Langer—119101192V. Jr—511125113
LAug 14 · 10:35A. Langer—1091191V. Jr—12117113
LAug 14 · 07:55A. Langer—6154111V. Jr—111311133
LAug 11 · 11:55A. Langer—81111982V. Jr—119711113
LAug 7 · 08:55A. Langer—71171182V. Jr—119119113
A. Langer10
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LSep 2 · 10:20A. Langer2.3871181142A. Rek1.53113117113LSep 1 · 14:05O. Fiklik1.68713611113A. Langer2.05111111692LSep 1 · 12:55A. Langer2.2591111872A. Rek1.57117811113LSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:20V. Jr2.3891180A. Rek1.531113113
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