TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073997
Played Sep 4Finished
Ales Langer
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711115113––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Langer above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 11–16 Ondrej Fiklik Ales Langer has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1626 vs Fiklik 1484
Langer
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 20% vs Fiklik 40%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -2 · Fiklik -3
Fiklik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.00 / Fiklik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fiklik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13073997
Langer2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 67 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Fiklik1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 101 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger5wins
AwayFiklik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger66.7%4 of 6
AwayFiklik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer6Fiklik4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S2Langer4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S3Langer5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S4Langer5Fiklik2n = 7Langer took 5 of 7
S5Langer1Fiklik3n = 4Fiklik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerFiklikL − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.8+2.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 516 vs 557 / 122648.6%45.4%251 / 516 vs 557 / 1226Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikLanger 2.00/Fiklik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:05A. Langer—111111692O. Fiklik—713611113
LSep 1 · 10:55A. Langer—91390O. Fiklik—1115113
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Langer—1111123O. Fiklik—74100
WAug 14 · 06:55A. Langer—111110113O. Fiklik—981231
LAug 9 · 10:55A. Langer—11881162O. Fiklik—911119113
WAug 8 · 12:25A. Langer—119911113O. Fiklik—71111572
WJul 10 · 14:20A. Langer—51211153O. Fiklik—11109131
LJun 28 · 09:30A. Langer—8890O. Fiklik—1111113
WJun 28 · 06:20A. Langer—111011113O. Fiklik—812951
LJun 21 · 07:20A. Langer—71113892O. Fiklik—1141111113
A. Langer10
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LSep 2 · 10:20A. Langer2.3871181142A. Rek1.53113117113LSep 1 · 14:05O. Fiklik1.68713611113A. Langer2.05111111692LSep 1 · 12:55A. Langer2.2591111872A. Rek1.57117811113LSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780WSep 1 · 14:05O. Fiklik1.68713611113A. Langer2.05111111692
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