TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082079
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113711118117––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Michal Brozek at 62.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 107–105 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 105 of their 212 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
107-105 in 212
Brozek
Correct
gap of 2 in 212, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1704 vs Fiklik 1504
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Fiklik 20%
Brozek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Fiklik 40%
Brozek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Fiklik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.57 / Fiklik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Brozek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13082079
Brozek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 157 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it87% 82 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 147
Fiklik2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 130 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek9wins
AwayFiklik1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek100%8 of 8
AwayFiklikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek8Fiklik2n = 10Brozek took 8 of 10
S2Brozek9Fiklik1n = 10Brozek took 9 of 10
S3Brozek8Fiklik2n = 10Brozek took 8 of 10
S4Brozek3Fiklik2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekFiklikB − FBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.728.0+10.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1023 vs 556 / 122152.1%45.5%533 / 1023 vs 556 / 1221Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.57/Fiklik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 11:55M. Brozek—1111113O. Fiklik—3240
WAug 27 · 19:25M. Brozek—31213113O. Fiklik—11101181
WAug 23 · 21:54M. Brozek—1111113O. Fiklik—8580
LAug 23 · 19:55M. Brozek—81111682O. Fiklik—115711113
WAug 10 · 10:35M. Brozek—1111138113O. Fiklik—92151182
WAug 10 · 07:25M. Brozek—1111113O. Fiklik—9760
WAug 7 · 10:20M. Brozek—11711113O. Fiklik—911931
WAug 3 · 14:00M. Brozek—111112113O. Fiklik—451471
WAug 3 · 11:25M. Brozek—1111113O. Fiklik—5850
WJul 30 · 17:53M. Brozek—1111113O. Fiklik—7470
M. Brozek10
LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972LSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780WSep 2 · 19:20O. Fiklik2.0011118113M. Kulisek1.73421141
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