Michal Brozek vs Jan Benak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13070779

Played Sep 3Finished

Michal Brozek

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1191416611119117

Jan Benak

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Jan Benak below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 14-16

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 105 set 5, 11-7

105 points played in total.

H2H Michal Brozek 3–7 Jan Benak Michal Brozek has won 3 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Benak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Benak form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrozek 2.25 / Benak 1.57

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Benak)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13070779

Brozek2.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As underdog44% won 83 of 188

Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 88

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52

Benak1.57

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite59% won 33 of 56

Up 2–0, closes it77% 10 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBrozek3wins

AwayBenak7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderBenak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBrozek40%2 of 5

AwayBenak80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Brozek5Benak5n = 10split evenly

S2Brozek3Benak7n = 10Benak took 7 of 10

S3Brozek5Benak5n = 10split evenly

S4Brozek4Benak5n = 9Benak took 5 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricBrozekBenakBrozek − BenakBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.040.9−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrozekBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1029 vs 96 / 17052.3%56.5%538 / 1029 vs 96 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Benak

Brozek 2.25/Benak 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.1%

Benak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Brozek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 07:25M. Brozek—11412113J. Benak—6111071

WAug 20 · 12:20M. Brozek—11314153J. Benak—41112131

LJun 1 · 08:25M. Brozek—31181172J. Benak—116116113

LApr 27 · 06:55M. Brozek—115981J. Benak—81111113

LApr 16 · 15:20M. Brozek—81480J. Benak—1116113

LFeb 12 · 08:25M. Brozek—81110101J. Benak—11812123

WNov 7 · 13:55M. Brozek—111111113J. Benak—138971

LSep 6 · 15:55M. Brozek—116961J. Benak—61111113

LJun 13 · 12:25M. Brozek—5911111J. Benak—11113133

LMay 23 · 12:55M. Brozek—14911472J. Benak—1211911113

M. Brozek10

LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113 LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672 WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871 WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113 WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113 LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962 WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260 WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123 LSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341 LSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111

J. Benak10

LSep 6 · 10:24J. Benak2.104580M. Cerny1.671111113 WSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113 WSep 6 · 08:25M. Cerny1.61912971J. Benak2.20111011113 WSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122 LSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113 WSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113 WSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152 WSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143 LSep 3 · 09:25J. Benak1.73131111492P. Benes2.00154711113 WSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123

Upcoming Matches

M. Brozek1 of 3 neutral

Sep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek—D. Bochnak——Sep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83P. Benes1.83—Sep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.61M. Kulisek2.20—

J. Benak

Nothing scheduled

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