TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13085106
Played Sep 6Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012811––––
Jan Benak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:39 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Jan Benak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held David Vesecky at 54.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 12–14 Jan Benak David Vesecky has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:39What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vesecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Benak
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1648 vs Benak 1782
Benak
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 40% vs Benak 80%
Benak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 30% vs Benak 60%
Benak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -1 · Benak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vesecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.73 / Benak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vesecky)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13085106
Vesecky1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite64% won 119 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it80% 74 of 93
Benak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 14 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky5wins
AwayBenak5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky71.4%5 of 7
AwayBenak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky7Benak3n = 10Vesecky took 7 of 10
S2Vesecky8Benak2n = 10Vesecky took 8 of 10
S3Vesecky4Benak6n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S4Vesecky2Benak5n = 7Benak took 5 of 7
S5Vesecky2Benak4n = 6Benak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyBenakV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.2+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 675 vs 96 / 16957.2%56.8%386 / 675 vs 96 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.73/Benak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky—91080J. Benak—1112113
WAug 20 · 10:20D. Vesecky—1111113J. Benak—7690
LAug 19 · 10:00D. Vesecky—31111982J. Benak—117911113
LAug 19 · 08:25D. Vesecky—11124562J. Benak—7101111113
WAug 5 · 10:20D. Vesecky—1111113J. Benak—3980
WMay 26 · 14:55D. Vesecky—1111107113J. Benak—96121162
WMay 25 · 17:25D. Vesecky—11118113J. Benak—841141
LMay 11 · 10:38D. Vesecky—117111092J. Benak—611112113
LMay 11 · 07:55D. Vesecky—81161192J. Benak—113118113
WMay 4 · 10:25D. Vesecky—1211127113J. Benak—108141182
D. Vesecky10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282LSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113LSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761WSep 1 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.449111011113M. Brozek2.6311212652
J. Benak10
LSep 6 · 10:24J. Benak2.104580M. Cerny1.671111113WSep 6 · 08:25M. Cerny1.61912971J. Benak2.20111011113WSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122LSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113WSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972LSep 3 · 09:25J. Benak1.73131111492P. Benes2.00154711113WSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123
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