TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055913
Played Sep 1Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111121012116115
Michal Brozek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held David Vesecky at 68.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 40–17 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 17 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vesecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-17 in 57
Vesecky
Correct
gap of 23 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1710 vs Brozek 1601
Vesecky
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 20% vs Brozek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 60% vs Brozek 40%
Vesecky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -2 · Brozek -3
Brozek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vesecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.44 / Brozek 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Vesecky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13055913
Vesecky1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 125 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it80% 78 of 97
Brozek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 81 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky5wins
AwayBrozek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky75%3 of 4
AwayBrozek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S2Vesecky5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vesecky5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vesecky3Brozek2n = 5Vesecky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyBrozekV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.934.9−1.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 665 vs 533 / 102357.6%52.1%383 / 665 vs 533 / 1023Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.44/Brozek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vesecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 14:55D. Vesecky—11911782M. Brozek—911911113
WAug 7 · 17:25D. Vesecky—1111113M. Brozek—7890
WJul 29 · 14:55D. Vesecky—1111113M. Brozek—8390
LJul 29 · 11:25D. Vesecky—10230M. Brozek—1211113
WJul 4 · 08:25D. Vesecky—81111113M. Brozek—118641
WJun 17 · 18:05D. Vesecky—1112411113M. Brozek—81411682
LJun 17 · 16:55D. Vesecky—10280M. Brozek—1211113
WJun 8 · 13:25D. Vesecky—91111143M. Brozek—1137121
LMay 28 · 11:50D. Vesecky—41290M. Brozek—1114113
LMay 24 · 10:30D. Vesecky—1111281M. Brozek—13611113
D. Vesecky10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282LSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113LSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761
M. Brozek10
LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972WSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113
Upcoming Matches
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