TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13065272
Played Sep 2Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012811––––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held David Vesecky at 57.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 15–8 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vesecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Vesecky
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1673 vs Zacharda 1631
Vesecky
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 20% vs Zacharda 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 30% vs Zacharda 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -1 · Zacharda -3
Zacharda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Vesecky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.40 / Zacharda 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Vesecky)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13065272
Vesecky1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 121 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it80% 75 of 94
Zacharda2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVesecky10wins
AwayZacharda0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVesecky leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky100%6 of 6
AwayZacharda0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky6Zacharda4n = 10Vesecky took 6 of 10
S2Vesecky8Zacharda2n = 10Vesecky took 8 of 10
S3Vesecky5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S4Vesecky7Zacharda1n = 8Vesecky took 7 of 8
S5Vesecky4Zacharda0n = 4Vesecky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeseckyZachardaV − ZBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.635.9+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 671 vs 121 / 25157.4%48.2%385 / 671 vs 121 / 251Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.40/Zacharda 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zacharda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 11:55D. Vesecky—11115123J. Zacharda—8911101
WAug 12 · 10:29D. Vesecky—81113113J. Zacharda—1161191
WAug 12 · 09:25D. Vesecky—1111133J. Zacharda—65110
WAug 4 · 10:09D. Vesecky—111511113J. Zacharda—717531
WAug 4 · 09:25D. Vesecky—1111511113J. Zacharda—13611762
WJul 28 · 10:00D. Vesecky—117711113J. Zacharda—61111582
WJul 28 · 07:55D. Vesecky—11118123J. Zacharda—8811101
WJul 16 · 14:55D. Vesecky—1111113J. Zacharda—9820
WMay 13 · 10:08D. Vesecky—1111117113J. Zacharda—13691152
WMay 13 · 07:55D. Vesecky—1111511113J. Zacharda—13711962
D. Vesecky10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282LSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113LSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761WSep 1 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.449111011113M. Brozek2.6311212652
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113LSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123
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