TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070538
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJachym Zacharda to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jachym Zacharda at 60.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 1–6 Jachym Zacharda Marek Kulisek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zacharda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Zacharda
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1643 vs Zacharda 1646
Zacharda
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 60% vs Zacharda 40%
Kulisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Zacharda 20%
Kulisek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +1 · Zacharda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zacharda) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 2.38 / Zacharda 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zacharda)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13070538
Kulisek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 112 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 95
Zacharda1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite45% won 19 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it62% 13 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKulisek1wins
AwayZacharda6wins
3 of 7 to a deciderZacharda leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek25%1 of 4
AwayZacharda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek4Zacharda3n = 7Kulisek took 4 of 7
S2Kulisek3Zacharda4n = 7Zacharda took 4 of 7
S3Kulisek2Zacharda5n = 7Zacharda took 5 of 7
S4Kulisek2Zacharda5n = 7Zacharda took 5 of 7
S5Kulisek1Zacharda2n = 3Zacharda took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKulisekZachardaK − ZBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match35.741.9−6.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 856 vs 122 / 25244.5%48.4%381 / 856 vs 122 / 252Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZachardaKulisek 2.38/Zacharda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Zacharda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zacharda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LApr 5 · 20:55M. Kulisek—11811792J. Zacharda—911911113
LMar 22 · 08:55M. Kulisek—117721J. Zacharda—7111113
LJan 8 · 23:40M. Kulisek—511651J. Zacharda—11811113
WJan 8 · 20:25M. Kulisek—111146113J. Zacharda—87111182
LNov 12 · 23:00M. Kulisek—1110761J. Zacharda—61211113
LNov 12 · 21:55M. Kulisek—5911101J. Zacharda—11117123
LOct 22 · 21:25M. Kulisek—51161152J. Zacharda—115117113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113LSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123
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