TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071378
Played Sep 3Finished
Jachym Zacharda
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118911811––
David Bochnak
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJachym Zacharda above · David Bochnak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held David Bochnak at 72.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Zacharda 28–49 David Bochnak Jachym Zacharda has won 28 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-49 in 77
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 21 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zacharda 1679 vs Bochnak 1864
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zacharda 60% vs Bochnak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zacharda 40% vs Bochnak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zacharda +3 · Bochnak +2
Zacharda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZacharda 3.00 / Bochnak 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bochnak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13071378
Zacharda3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 14 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Bochnak1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 127 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 97 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZacharda2wins
AwayBochnak8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZacharda66.7%2 of 3
AwayBochnak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zacharda3Bochnak7n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10
S2Zacharda1Bochnak9n = 10Bochnak took 9 of 10
S3Zacharda4Bochnak6n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S4Zacharda1Bochnak5n = 6Bochnak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZachardaBochnakZ − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.338.0−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZachardaBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 254 vs 367 / 59448.8%61.8%124 / 254 vs 367 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakZacharda 3.00/Bochnak 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:25J. Zacharda—3760D. Bochnak—1111113
LJul 16 · 16:55J. Zacharda—1141161D. Bochnak—13114113
WApr 17 · 16:55J. Zacharda—11611113D. Bochnak—911681
LApr 10 · 16:55J. Zacharda—961191D. Bochnak—11118113
LApr 6 · 17:25J. Zacharda—112751D. Bochnak—81111113
LApr 4 · 21:25J. Zacharda—10611121D. Bochnak—12119143
WJan 8 · 20:55J. Zacharda—111198113D. Bochnak—96111172
LJan 4 · 16:55J. Zacharda—81050D. Bochnak—1112113
LJan 2 · 19:00J. Zacharda—101040D. Bochnak—1212113
LJan 2 · 16:55J. Zacharda—5960D. Bochnak—1111113
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113WSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113LSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123
D. Bochnak10
WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173LSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122WSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102WSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103LSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113WSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
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