TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076702
Played Sep 4Finished
David Bochnak
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14121012511115117
Jachym Zacharda
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held David Bochnak at 72.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 50–29 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 29 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-29 in 79
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 21 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bochnak 1819 vs Zacharda 1682
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bochnak 40% vs Zacharda 60%
Zacharda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bochnak 40% vs Zacharda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bochnak -3 · Zacharda -1
Bochnak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 1.36 / Zacharda 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Bochnak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13076702
Bochnak1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 130 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 98 of 123
Zacharda3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 16 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBochnak7wins
AwayZacharda3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBochnak100%6 of 6
AwayZacharda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bochnak6Zacharda4n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S2Bochnak7Zacharda3n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10
S3Bochnak6Zacharda4n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S4Bochnak6Zacharda2n = 8Bochnak took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBochnakZachardaB − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.433.9+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 596 vs 125 / 25761.6%48.6%367 / 596 vs 125 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakBochnak 1.36/Zacharda 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak—1491161J. Zacharda—16114113
WSep 3 · 21:25D. Bochnak—12811113J. Zacharda—1011981
WAug 30 · 08:25D. Bochnak—1111113J. Zacharda—3760
WJul 16 · 16:55D. Bochnak—13114113J. Zacharda—1141161
LApr 17 · 16:55D. Bochnak—911681J. Zacharda—11611113
WApr 10 · 16:55D. Bochnak—11118113J. Zacharda—961191
WApr 6 · 17:25D. Bochnak—81111113J. Zacharda—112751
WApr 4 · 21:25D. Bochnak—12119143J. Zacharda—10611121
LJan 8 · 20:55D. Bochnak—96111172J. Zacharda—111198113
WJan 4 · 16:55D. Bochnak—1112113J. Zacharda—81050
D. Bochnak10
WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173LSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122WSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103LSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113WSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113WSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113LSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123
Upcoming Matches
D. Bochnak
Nothing scheduled
J. Zacharda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.