TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063773
Played Sep 2Finished
Jachym Zacharda
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111151012––
David Vesecky
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJachym Zacharda above · David Vesecky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held David Vesecky at 62.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Zacharda 8–14 David Vesecky Jachym Zacharda has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vesecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Vesecky
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zacharda 1647 vs Vesecky 1679
Vesecky
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zacharda 20% vs Vesecky 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zacharda 40% vs Vesecky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zacharda -1 · Vesecky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Vesecky) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZacharda 2.75 / Vesecky 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Vesecky)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13063773
Zacharda2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Vesecky1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 121 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it80% 75 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZacharda0wins
AwayVesecky10wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVesecky leads 10–0, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZacharda0%0 of 5
AwayVesecky100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zacharda5Vesecky5n = 10split evenly
S2Zacharda2Vesecky8n = 10Vesecky took 8 of 10
S3Zacharda5Vesecky5n = 10split evenly
S4Zacharda1Vesecky7n = 8Vesecky took 7 of 8
S5Zacharda0Vesecky5n = 5Vesecky took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZachardaVeseckyZ − VBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.145.2−8.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZachardaVeseckyBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 249 vs 384 / 66848.6%57.5%121 / 249 vs 384 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyZacharda 2.75/Vesecky 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vesecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 10:29J. Zacharda—1161191D. Vesecky—81113113
LAug 12 · 09:25J. Zacharda—65110D. Vesecky—1111133
LAug 4 · 10:09J. Zacharda—717531D. Vesecky—111511113
LAug 4 · 09:25J. Zacharda—13611762D. Vesecky—1111511113
LJul 28 · 10:00J. Zacharda—61111582D. Vesecky—117711113
LJul 28 · 07:55J. Zacharda—8811101D. Vesecky—11118123
LJul 16 · 14:55J. Zacharda—9820D. Vesecky—1111113
LMay 13 · 10:08J. Zacharda—13691152D. Vesecky—1111117113
LMay 13 · 07:55J. Zacharda—13711962D. Vesecky—1111511113
LApr 6 · 15:55J. Zacharda—121211692D. Vesecky—1014911113
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113WSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113
D. Vesecky10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282LSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113LSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761WSep 1 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.449111011113M. Brozek2.6311212652
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