TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055914
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Kocab
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112711117116––
David Vesecky
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJan Kocab to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingJan Kocab above · David Vesecky below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 66 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jan Kocab at 54.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 8–1 David Vesecky David Vesecky has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kocab
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Kocab
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocab 1532 vs Vesecky 1718
Vesecky
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocab 40% vs Vesecky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocab 30% vs Vesecky 60%
Vesecky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocab -1 · Vesecky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocab) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.73 / Vesecky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocab)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13055914
Kocab1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 49 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Vesecky2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 65 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKocab8wins
AwayVesecky1wins
Kocab leads 8–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab100%7 of 7
AwayVeseckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab7Vesecky2n = 9Kocab took 7 of 9
S2Kocab7Vesecky2n = 9Kocab took 7 of 9
S3Kocab7Vesecky2n = 9Kocab took 7 of 9
S4Kocab3Vesecky0n = 3Kocab took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKocabVeseckyK − VBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match34.725.8+8.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabVeseckyBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 258 vs 384 / 66648.5%57.7%125 / 258 vs 384 / 666Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyKocab 1.73/Vesecky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 27 · 10:03J. Kocab—111210113D. Vesecky—7101291
LAug 27 · 06:55J. Kocab—83110D. Vesecky—1111133
WAug 23 · 13:24J. Kocab—1211113D. Vesecky—10580
WAug 23 · 11:20J. Kocab—81111113D. Vesecky—115551
WJun 19 · 11:25J. Kocab—11611113D. Vesecky—611981
WJul 6 · 18:05J. Kocab—1111113D. Vesecky—8630
WJul 6 · 16:55J. Kocab—1111113D. Vesecky—7780
WJun 5 · 15:55J. Kocab—1111113D. Vesecky—8180
WApr 26 · 12:25J. Kocab—1111113D. Vesecky—8570
J. Kocab10
LSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123LSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 1 · 10:30P. Benes1.731112113J. Kocab2.0051030LSep 1 · 07:55P. Benes1.831112113J. Kocab1.8361080WSep 1 · 07:25M. Brozek2.3812117462J. Kocab1.531091111113LAug 31 · 14:15P. Benes1.7311117113J. Kocab2.00881171LAug 31 · 13:25J. Kocab3.401111111092M. Cerny1.30513812113WAug 31 · 11:55D. Vesecky2.10714461J. Kocab1.67111211113
D. Vesecky10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282LSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113LAug 31 · 11:55D. Vesecky2.10714461J. Kocab1.67111211113
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