TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13050103
Played Aug 31Finished
David Vesecky
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111412411611––
Jan Kocab
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:13 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kocab to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Jan Kocab below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jan Kocab at 58.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 1–8 Jan Kocab David Vesecky has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kocab
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Kocab
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1760 vs Kocab 1588
Vesecky
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 80% vs Kocab 20%
Vesecky
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 60% vs Kocab 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky -1 · Kocab -3
Kocab
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocab) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 2.10 / Kocab 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vesecky)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13050103
Vesecky2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 65 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 39
Kocab1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 48 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVesecky1wins
AwayKocab8wins
Kocab leads 8–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeseckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKocab100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky2Kocab7n = 9Kocab took 7 of 9
S2Vesecky2Kocab7n = 9Kocab took 7 of 9
S3Vesecky2Kocab7n = 9Kocab took 7 of 9
S4Vesecky0Kocab3n = 3Kocab took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away556%
These 9 meetings
MetricVeseckyKocabV − KBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match25.834.7−8.9per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyKocabBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 661 vs 123 / 25457.8%48.4%382 / 661 vs 123 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 2.10/Kocab 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 27 · 10:03D. Vesecky—7101291J. Kocab—111210113
WAug 27 · 06:55D. Vesecky—1111133J. Kocab—83110
LAug 23 · 13:24D. Vesecky—10580J. Kocab—1211113
LAug 23 · 11:20D. Vesecky—115551J. Kocab—81111113
LJun 19 · 11:25D. Vesecky—611981J. Kocab—11611113
LJul 6 · 18:05D. Vesecky—8630J. Kocab—1111113
LJul 6 · 16:55D. Vesecky—7780J. Kocab—1111113
LJun 5 · 15:55D. Vesecky—8180J. Kocab—1111113
LApr 26 · 12:25D. Vesecky—8570J. Kocab—1111113
D. Vesecky10
LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113LSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173WSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381LSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123LSep 2 · 11:25M. Cerny1.831391110113D. Vesecky1.83111141282LSep 1 · 10:00D. Vesecky1.85511561M. Brozek1.8511711113LSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761
J. Kocab10
LSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123LSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 1 · 10:30P. Benes1.731112113J. Kocab2.0051030WSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761LSep 1 · 07:55P. Benes1.831112113J. Kocab1.8361080WSep 1 · 07:25M. Brozek2.3812117462J. Kocab1.531091111113LAug 31 · 14:15P. Benes1.7311117113J. Kocab2.00881171LAug 31 · 13:25J. Kocab3.401111111092M. Cerny1.30513812113
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