TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076898
Played Sep 4Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111611711112119
Jachym Zacharda
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kadavy to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 80 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Kadavy at 57.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 20–18 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-18 in 38
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1715 vs Zacharda 1671
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 60% vs Zacharda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 50% vs Zacharda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +3 · Zacharda -1
Kadavy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.53 / Zacharda 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kadavy)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13076898
Kadavy1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 78 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Zacharda2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 16 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy6wins
AwayZacharda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy100%4 of 4
AwayZacharda66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy4Zacharda6n = 10Zacharda took 6 of 10
S2Kadavy7Zacharda3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S3Kadavy4Zacharda6n = 10Zacharda took 6 of 10
S4Kadavy6Zacharda1n = 7Kadavy took 6 of 7
S5Kadavy2Zacharda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyZachardaK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.334.1+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 295 vs 125 / 25859%48.5%174 / 295 vs 125 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.53/Zacharda 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy—116711113J. Zacharda—11111292
LApr 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy—61191182J. Zacharda—117119113
WApr 10 · 14:55O. Kadavy—41111113J. Zacharda—114651
LJan 4 · 19:00O. Kadavy—10880J. Zacharda—1211103
WJan 4 · 18:25O. Kadavy—1111983J. Zacharda—851151
WDec 12 · 15:55O. Kadavy—1111113J. Zacharda—5570
LNov 28 · 19:40O. Kadavy—812491J. Zacharda—111011113
LNov 28 · 15:55O. Kadavy—61391192J. Zacharda—1111119113
WNov 21 · 19:05O. Kadavy—551111113J. Zacharda—11117782
WNov 21 · 16:55O. Kadavy—1111113J. Zacharda—3730
O. Kadavy10
LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101LSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.9181110121F. Strejc1.8011512143LAug 21 · 22:58T. Vorisek1.57121186113O. Kadavy2.25108111152WAug 21 · 20:55O. Kadavy2.50851111113D. Jicha1.5011115272LAug 21 · 19:55O. Kadavy2.208516101T. Vorisek1.61111114123
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113WSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113LSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123
Upcoming Matches
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J. Zacharda
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