TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058299
Played Sep 1Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111171012117611
David Jicha
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · David Jicha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held David Jicha at 60.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 4–9 David Jicha Ondrej Kadavy has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jicha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Jicha
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1650 vs Jicha 1773
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 40% vs Jicha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 50% vs Jicha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy -2 · Jicha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jicha) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 2.25 / Jicha 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Jicha)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13058299
Kadavy2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 32 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Jicha1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy3wins
AwayJicha7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJicha leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy50%2 of 4
AwayJicha83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy4Jicha6n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S2Kadavy2Jicha8n = 10Jicha took 8 of 10
S3Kadavy6Jicha4n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S4Kadavy4Jicha4n = 8split evenly
S5Kadavy1Jicha2n = 3Jicha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyJichaK − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.340.3−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyJichaBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 297 vs 179 / 35858.3%50%173 / 297 vs 179 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaKadavy 2.25/Jicha 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy—911101162D. Jicha—117127113
WAug 21 · 20:55O. Kadavy—851111113D. Jicha—11115272
LAug 16 · 07:25O. Kadavy—1171181D. Jicha—13115113
LAug 14 · 19:55O. Kadavy—1181161D. Jicha—13119113
LAug 12 · 18:00O. Kadavy—4780D. Jicha—1111113
LAug 12 · 15:25O. Kadavy—1181091D. Jicha—51112113
WAug 8 · 21:25O. Kadavy—1112113D. Jicha—81080
LAug 4 · 15:55O. Kadavy—123101162D. Jicha—1011128113
WAug 2 · 15:55O. Kadavy—11712123D. Jicha—91110101
LJul 24 · 16:55O. Kadavy—881421D. Jicha—111112113
O. Kadavy10
LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.9181110121F. Strejc1.8011512143LAug 21 · 22:58T. Vorisek1.57121186113O. Kadavy2.25108111152WAug 21 · 20:55O. Kadavy2.50851111113D. Jicha1.5011115272LAug 21 · 19:55O. Kadavy2.208516101T. Vorisek1.61111114123
D. Jicha10
WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha1.73871111102F. Strejc2.00111152123LAug 21 · 20:55O. Kadavy2.50851111113D. Jicha1.5011115272
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.