TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063518
Played Sep 2Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111181012511––
David Jicha
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:00 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · David Jicha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held David Jicha at 57.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 57–70 David Jicha Filip Strejc has won 57 of their 127 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jicha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-70 in 127
Jicha
Correct
gap of 13 in 127, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1693 vs Jicha 1795
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 40% vs Jicha 80%
Jicha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 40% vs Jicha 60%
Jicha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -1 · Jicha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jicha) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 2.20 / Jicha 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jicha)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13063518
Strejc2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Jicha1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 48 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it76% 38 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc6wins
AwayJicha4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc75%3 of 4
AwayJicha50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc4Jicha6n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S2Strejc5Jicha5n = 10split evenly
S3Strejc7Jicha3n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S4Strejc4Jicha6n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S5Strejc3Jicha1n = 4Strejc took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcJichaS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.542.6−0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcJichaBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 477 vs 182 / 36246.1%50.3%220 / 477 vs 182 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaStrejc 2.20/Jicha 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc—7111051D. Jicha—11812113
WSep 1 · 18:40F. Strejc—111152123D. Jicha—871111102
LSep 1 · 17:25F. Strejc—81112892D. Jicha—1171011113
WAug 28 · 20:20F. Strejc—11811123D. Jicha—9116101
WAug 23 · 07:25F. Strejc—9111112113D. Jicha—11861492
WAug 21 · 22:28F. Strejc—951112113D. Jicha—111191052
WAug 21 · 20:25F. Strejc—11912113D. Jicha—9111051
LAug 16 · 10:25F. Strejc—148771D. Jicha—121111113
WAug 16 · 07:55F. Strejc—101111133D. Jicha—1295111
LAug 12 · 15:55F. Strejc—891171D. Jicha—11117113
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113
D. Jicha10
WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha1.73871111102F. Strejc2.00111152123WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892WSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113
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