TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086720
Played Sep 6Finished
David Jicha
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1167117111113––
Martin Stusek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 77 set 4, 11-13 — our read held David Jicha at 60.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 84–64 Martin Stusek Martin Stusek has won 64 of their 148 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jicha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
84-64 in 148
Jicha
Wrong
gap of 20 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1813 vs Stusek 1747
Jicha
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 60% vs Stusek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 70% vs Stusek 50%
Jicha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +1 · Stusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jicha) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.61 / Stusek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jicha)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13086720
Jicha1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Stusek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 84 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha5wins
AwayStusek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha80%4 of 5
AwayStusek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S2Jicha6Stusek4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S3Jicha7Stusek3n = 10Jicha took 7 of 10
S4Jicha5Stusek2n = 7Jicha took 5 of 7
S5Jicha0Stusek4n = 4Stusek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaStusekJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.137.1+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 357 vs 318 / 67950.7%46.8%181 / 357 vs 318 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaJicha 1.61/Stusek 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 09:55D. Jicha—91111113M. Stusek—118961
LAug 23 · 07:55D. Jicha—11119152M. Stusek—971111113
WAug 14 · 19:25D. Jicha—1111113M. Stusek—6980
LAug 9 · 15:25D. Jicha—101111672M. Stusek—129611113
WAug 8 · 21:54D. Jicha—11711113M. Stusek—811671
WAug 8 · 18:55D. Jicha—11511133M. Stusek—6119111
LAug 2 · 17:54D. Jicha—87111152M. Stusek—111164103
LAug 2 · 16:55D. Jicha—9111211102M. Stusek—119144123
LJul 31 · 21:24D. Jicha—11690M. Stusek—1311113
WJul 31 · 20:20D. Jicha—1111113M. Stusek—5870
D. Jicha10
WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha1.73871111102F. Strejc2.00111152123WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892WSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113
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