TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076882
Played Sep 4Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119116711511116
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 68.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 43–90 Jaromir Zlamal Martin Stusek has won 43 of their 133 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zlamal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-90 in 133
Zlamal
Wrong
gap of 47 in 133, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1736 vs Zlamal 1822
Zlamal
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 40% vs Zlamal 60%
Zlamal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 50% vs Zlamal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Zlamal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.63 / Zlamal 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13076882
Stusek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 82 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Zlamal1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek1wins
AwayZlamal9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZlamal100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek2Zlamal8n = 10Zlamal took 8 of 10
S2Stusek3Zlamal7n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S3Stusek1Zlamal9n = 10Zlamal took 9 of 10
S4Stusek3Zlamal2n = 5Stusek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekZlamalS − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.937.6−7.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 681 vs 198 / 32346.7%61.3%318 / 681 vs 198 / 323Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalStusek 2.63/Zlamal 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek—3850J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 19:55M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 24 · 20:55M. Stusek—102120J. Zlamal—1211143
LAug 11 · 19:55M. Stusek—115461J. Zlamal—71111113
LJul 31 · 19:20M. Stusek—1181461J. Zlamal—131112113
LJul 28 · 19:55M. Stusek—91191182J. Zlamal—115111113
WJul 23 · 22:05M. Stusek—11117113J. Zlamal—871191
LJul 23 · 20:25M. Stusek—91191192J. Zlamal—116117113
LJun 25 · 15:25M. Stusek—7750J. Zlamal—1111113
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
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