TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079414
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaromir Zlamal
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119112––––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 55 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 56.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Zlamal 107–57 Tomas Vorisek Tomas Vorisek has won 57 of their 164 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
107-57 in 164
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 50 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zlamal 1844 vs Vorisek 1820
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zlamal 60% vs Vorisek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zlamal 60% vs Vorisek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zlamal +2 · Vorisek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zlamal) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZlamal 1.80 / Vorisek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zlamal)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13079414
Zlamal1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Vorisek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 91 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZlamal5wins
AwayVorisek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZlamal100%3 of 3
AwayVorisek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zlamal3Vorisek7n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Zlamal4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Zlamal5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Zlamal2Vorisek1n = 3Zlamal took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZlamalVorisekZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.032.8+0.2per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZlamalVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 326 vs 418 / 81061.4%51.6%200 / 326 vs 418 / 810Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalZlamal 1.80/Vorisek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 19:25J. Zlamal—912100T. Vorisek—1114123
WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal—611611113T. Vorisek—11511762
LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal—58110T. Vorisek—1111133
WAug 24 · 22:35J. Zlamal—5111111113T. Vorisek—11132862
WAug 24 · 19:25J. Zlamal—1111133T. Vorisek—95110
LAug 17 · 22:25J. Zlamal—9111101T. Vorisek—11116123
LAug 17 · 19:25J. Zlamal—510100T. Vorisek—1112123
WAug 11 · 22:35J. Zlamal—1111113T. Vorisek—5760
LAug 11 · 19:25J. Zlamal—71070T. Vorisek—1112113
WJul 31 · 21:55J. Zlamal—1111113T. Vorisek—8970
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100LAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762WAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.