TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086691
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811611––––
Martin Stusek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 159–139 Martin Stusek Martin Stusek has won 139 of their 298 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
159-139 in 298
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 20 in 298, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1818 vs Stusek 1729
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Stusek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 70% vs Stusek 50%
Vorisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Stusek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.83 / Stusek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13086691
Vorisek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Stusek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek6wins
AwayStusek4wins
Vorisek leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%6 of 6
AwayStusek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek6Stusek4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Vorisek5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorisek3Stusek7n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S4Vorisek4Stusek0n = 4Vorisek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekStusekV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.532.1−0.6per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 808 vs 317 / 67851.7%46.8%418 / 808 vs 317 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.83/Stusek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 18:30T. Vorisek—4280M. Stusek—1111113
WAug 30 · 15:25T. Vorisek—11715113M. Stusek—6111321
WAug 28 · 20:50T. Vorisek—13119113M. Stusek—1191131
LAug 26 · 18:55T. Vorisek—6360M. Stusek—1111113
WAug 24 · 19:55T. Vorisek—1111113M. Stusek—9690
WAug 23 · 06:55T. Vorisek—13119113M. Stusek—1181181
WAug 14 · 20:25T. Vorisek—11117133M. Stusek—7811111
LAug 11 · 20:55T. Vorisek—6660M. Stusek—1111113
WAug 9 · 16:25T. Vorisek—1112113M. Stusek—71070
LAug 7 · 21:50T. Vorisek—9990M. Stusek—1111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113
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