TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086653
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911711711––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 62.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 85–100 Tomas Vorisek Filip Strejc has won 85 of their 185 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-100 in 185
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 15 in 185, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1665 vs Vorisek 1801
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 20% vs Vorisek 40%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 20% vs Vorisek 60%
Vorisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -1 · Vorisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 2.25 / Vorisek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vorisek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13086653
Strejc2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 54 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Vorisek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 103 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 78 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc2wins
AwayVorisek8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc28.6%2 of 7
AwayVorisek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc7Vorisek3n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S2Strejc2Vorisek8n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S3Strejc5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Strejc2Vorisek7n = 9Vorisek took 7 of 9
S5Strejc1Vorisek4n = 5Vorisek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcVorisekS − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.542.8−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 476 vs 417 / 80845.4%51.6%216 / 476 vs 417 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekStrejc 2.25/Vorisek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc—119771T. Vorisek—81111113
LSep 4 · 18:20F. Strejc—111111182T. Vorisek—681113113
LSep 2 · 14:55F. Strejc—11741192T. Vorisek—711117113
LAug 30 · 16:25F. Strejc—111011252T. Vorisek—612911113
LAug 28 · 18:50F. Strejc—911781T. Vorisek—11611113
LAug 27 · 14:55F. Strejc—1281171T. Vorisek—14118113
WAug 26 · 20:55F. Strejc—111011123T. Vorisek—8128101
WAug 23 · 10:25F. Strejc—1113116113T. Vorisek—61551172
LAug 23 · 08:25F. Strejc—11811982T. Vorisek—411611113
LAug 21 · 21:25F. Strejc—57100T. Vorisek—1111123
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
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