TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076652
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaromir Zlamal
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116117115––
Filip Strejc
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 66.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Zlamal 20–9 Filip Strejc Filip Strejc has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-9 in 29
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zlamal 1838 vs Strejc 1660
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zlamal 60% vs Strejc 20%
Zlamal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zlamal 60% vs Strejc 30%
Zlamal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zlamal +1 · Strejc -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zlamal) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZlamal 1.44 / Strejc 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13076652
Zlamal1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Strejc2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZlamal6wins
AwayStrejc4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZlamal83.3%5 of 6
AwayStrejc75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zlamal6Strejc4n = 10Zlamal took 6 of 10
S2Zlamal7Strejc3n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S3Zlamal3Strejc7n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S4Zlamal4Strejc3n = 7Zlamal took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZlamalStrejcZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.636.1+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZlamalStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 325 vs 219 / 47761.2%45.9%199 / 325 vs 219 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalZlamal 1.44/Strejc 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 19:25J. Zlamal—511861F. Strejc—11711113
WJun 25 · 18:30J. Zlamal—711911113F. Strejc—11411972
WJun 25 · 15:55J. Zlamal—11115113F. Strejc—561191
WJun 17 · 18:50J. Zlamal—15511113F. Strejc—1311971
WJun 13 · 20:25J. Zlamal—1111153F. Strejc—98130
LMay 31 · 07:50J. Zlamal—1378121F. Strejc—111111143
WMay 12 · 21:55J. Zlamal—1111123F. Strejc—58100
LMay 12 · 18:50J. Zlamal—10114111F. Strejc—12611133
LMay 1 · 09:25J. Zlamal—88110F. Strejc—1111133
WApr 22 · 18:35J. Zlamal—11129113F. Strejc—4101161
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113
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