TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076649
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6118111111311118
Filip Strejc
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-8
Point 90 set 5, 10-8 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 60.9%
90 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 92–83 Filip Strejc Filip Strejc has won 83 of their 175 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
92-83 in 175
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 9 in 175, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1830 vs Strejc 1701
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 80% vs Strejc 40%
Vorisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 60% vs Strejc 40%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -1 · Strejc +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.61 / Strejc 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vorisek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13076649
Vorisek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 101 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it85% 77 of 91
Strejc2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek8wins
AwayStrejc2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%7 of 7
AwayStrejc66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek7Strejc3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek6Strejc4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Vorisek5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek6Strejc1n = 7Vorisek took 6 of 7
S5Vorisek2Strejc1n = 3Vorisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekStrejcV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.832.7+5.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 811 vs 221 / 47951.7%46.1%419 / 811 vs 221 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.61/Strejc 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 14:55T. Vorisek—111177133F. Strejc—451111112
WAug 16 · 06:55T. Vorisek—116411113F. Strejc—61111652
WAug 12 · 18:30T. Vorisek—11113113F. Strejc—561171
LAug 12 · 14:55T. Vorisek—7580F. Strejc—1111113
WAug 9 · 14:55T. Vorisek—11811113F. Strejc—711781
WAug 7 · 19:50T. Vorisek—101111113F. Strejc—127441
WAug 6 · 18:05T. Vorisek—1111113F. Strejc—9790
WAug 6 · 15:55T. Vorisek—1111113F. Strejc—4580
WJun 30 · 18:20T. Vorisek—11117123F. Strejc—6811101
LJun 25 · 14:55T. Vorisek—66111152F. Strejc—111177113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113
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