TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086732
Played Sep 6Finished
David Jicha
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111183111111816
Filip Strejc
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 18-16
Point 97 set 5, 18-16 — our read held David Jicha at 54.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 70–57 Filip Strejc Filip Strejc has won 57 of their 127 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jicha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-57 in 127
Jicha
Correct
gap of 13 in 127, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1790 vs Strejc 1696
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 60% vs Strejc 20%
Jicha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 60% vs Strejc 30%
Jicha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha -1 · Strejc +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jicha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.73 / Strejc 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Jicha)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13086732
Jicha1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Strejc2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 54 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha4wins
AwayStrejc6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha50%3 of 6
AwayStrejc75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha6Strejc4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S2Jicha5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S3Jicha3Strejc7n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S4Jicha6Strejc4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S5Jicha1Strejc3n = 4Strejc took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaStrejcJ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.642.5+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 357 vs 218 / 47650.4%45.8%180 / 357 vs 218 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaJicha 1.73/Strejc 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:55D. Jicha—11812113F. Strejc—7111051
LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha—871111102F. Strejc—111152123
WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha—1171011113F. Strejc—81112892
LAug 28 · 20:20D. Jicha—9116101F. Strejc—11811123
LAug 23 · 07:25D. Jicha—11861492F. Strejc—9111112113
LAug 21 · 22:28D. Jicha—111191052F. Strejc—951112113
LAug 21 · 20:25D. Jicha—9111051F. Strejc—11912113
WAug 16 · 10:25D. Jicha—121111113F. Strejc—148771
LAug 16 · 07:55D. Jicha—1295111F. Strejc—101111133
WAug 12 · 15:55D. Jicha—11117113F. Strejc—891171
D. Jicha10
WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha1.73871111102F. Strejc2.00111152123WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892WSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha1.73871111102F. Strejc2.00111152123LSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892
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