TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060242
Played Sep 1Finished
David Jicha
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8117111151121012
Filip Strejc
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held David Jicha at 56.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 69–57 Filip Strejc Filip Strejc has won 57 of their 126 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:04What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jicha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-57 in 126
Jicha
Wrong
gap of 12 in 126, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1778 vs Strejc 1718
Jicha
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 60% vs Strejc 40%
Jicha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 60% vs Strejc 40%
Jicha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +3 · Strejc -2
Jicha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jicha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.73 / Strejc 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jicha)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13060242
Jicha1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Strejc2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 53 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha4wins
AwayStrejc6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha50%3 of 6
AwayStrejc75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha6Strejc4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S2Jicha5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S3Jicha3Strejc7n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S4Jicha6Strejc4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S5Jicha1Strejc3n = 4Strejc took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaStrejcJ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.542.1+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 360 vs 220 / 47550%46.3%180 / 360 vs 220 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaJicha 1.73/Strejc 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha—871111102F. Strejc—111152123
WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha—1171011113F. Strejc—81112892
LAug 28 · 20:20D. Jicha—9116101F. Strejc—11811123
LAug 23 · 07:25D. Jicha—11861492F. Strejc—9111112113
LAug 21 · 22:28D. Jicha—111191052F. Strejc—951112113
LAug 21 · 20:25D. Jicha—9111051F. Strejc—11912113
WAug 16 · 10:25D. Jicha—121111113F. Strejc—148771
LAug 16 · 07:55D. Jicha—1295111F. Strejc—101111133
WAug 12 · 15:55D. Jicha—11117113F. Strejc—891171
WAug 9 · 15:55D. Jicha—11811113F. Strejc—411861
D. Jicha10
WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892WSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113LSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892
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