TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086615
Played Sep 6Finished
David Jicha
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81112105111113––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 81 set 4, 11-13 — our read held David Jicha at 54.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 95–81 Tomas Vorisek Tomas Vorisek has won 81 of their 176 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
95-81 in 176
Jicha
Wrong
gap of 14 in 176, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1802 vs Vorisek 1806
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 60% vs Vorisek 40%
Jicha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 60% vs Vorisek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +1 · Vorisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.83 / Vorisek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vorisek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13086615
Jicha1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vorisek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha4wins
AwayVorisek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha75%3 of 4
AwayVorisek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Jicha3Vorisek7n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S3Jicha6Vorisek4n = 10Jicha took 6 of 10
S4Jicha2Vorisek3n = 5Vorisek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaVorisekJ − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.9−2.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 364 vs 418 / 81150.3%51.5%183 / 364 vs 418 / 811Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekJicha 1.83/Vorisek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha—115971T. Vorisek—61111113
LAug 28 · 22:10D. Jicha—4990T. Vorisek—1111113
LAug 28 · 19:20D. Jicha—8101113102T. Vorisek—1112811123
WAug 23 · 09:25D. Jicha—1711113T. Vorisek—15480
WAug 21 · 19:25D. Jicha—156118113T. Vorisek—131161192
WAug 16 · 09:25D. Jicha—1111113T. Vorisek—9650
LAug 14 · 22:29D. Jicha—91270T. Vorisek—1114113
WAug 14 · 21:25D. Jicha—51111123T. Vorisek—1198101
LAug 12 · 17:25D. Jicha—12970T. Vorisek—1411113
LAug 9 · 18:35D. Jicha—5131121T. Vorisek—11159113
D. Jicha10
WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LSep 1 · 18:40D. Jicha1.73871111102F. Strejc2.00111152123WSep 1 · 17:25D. Jicha1.571171011113F. Strejc2.2581112892WSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
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