TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076912
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911511––––
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 58.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 57–107 Jaromir Zlamal Tomas Vorisek has won 57 of their 164 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-107 in 164
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 50 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1806 vs Zlamal 1838
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 80% vs Zlamal 40%
Vorisek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 60% vs Zlamal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Zlamal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 2.20 / Zlamal 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zlamal)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13076912
Vorisek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 91 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Zlamal1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwayZlamal5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek71.4%5 of 7
AwayZlamal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek7Zlamal3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek6Zlamal4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Vorisek5Zlamal5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek1Zlamal2n = 3Zlamal took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekZlamalV − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.833.0−0.2per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 809 vs 199 / 32551.6%61.2%417 / 809 vs 199 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalVorisek 2.20/Zlamal 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek—1114123J. Zlamal—912100
LAug 26 · 22:00T. Vorisek—11511762J. Zlamal—611611113
WAug 26 · 21:55T. Vorisek—1111133J. Zlamal—58110
LAug 24 · 22:35T. Vorisek—11132862J. Zlamal—5111111113
LAug 24 · 19:25T. Vorisek—95110J. Zlamal—1111133
WAug 17 · 22:25T. Vorisek—11116123J. Zlamal—9111101
WAug 17 · 19:25T. Vorisek—1112123J. Zlamal—510100
LAug 11 · 22:35T. Vorisek—5760J. Zlamal—1111113
WAug 11 · 19:25T. Vorisek—1112113J. Zlamal—71070
LJul 31 · 21:55T. Vorisek—8970J. Zlamal—1111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
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