Jaromir Zlamal vs Filip Cernota 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13061169

Played Sep 1Finished

Jaromir Zlamal

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1315611116911––

Filip Cernota

Away

1.90

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%

Graded at full time

Jaromir Zlamal to win

56.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Filip Cernota below

Set 1 · 13-15

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 56.7%

82 points played in total.

H2H Jaromir Zlamal 56–45 Filip Cernota Filip Cernota has won 45 of their 101 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 21:55

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Zlamal

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

56-45 in 101

Zlamal

Wrong

gap of 11 in 101, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zlamal 1832 vs Cernota 1658

Zlamal

Wrong

both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zlamal 60% vs Cernota 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zlamal 60% vs Cernota 40%

Zlamal

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zlamal +1 · Cernota +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zlamal) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZlamal 1.80 / Cernota 1.90

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Zlamal)+3.2pp

TT Cup · #13061169

Zlamal1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 82 of 135

Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46

Up 1–0, closes it87% 61 of 70

Cernota1.90

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog55% won 11 of 20

Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZlamal5wins

AwayCernota5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZlamal100%5 of 5

AwayCernota100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zlamal5Cernota5n = 10split evenly

S2Zlamal4Cernota6n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10

S3Zlamal5Cernota5n = 10split evenly

S4Zlamal3Cernota3n = 6split evenly

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricZlamalCernotaZ − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.5−0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZlamalCernotaBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 322 vs 102 / 18961.5%54%198 / 322 vs 102 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.640.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zlamal

Zlamal 1.80/Cernota 1.90

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.6%

Zlamal · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Cernota won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal—1111113F. Cernota—6990

LAug 24 · 20:25J. Zlamal—8711101F. Cernota—11118123

WAug 17 · 20:25J. Zlamal—139411113F. Cernota—111111792

WAug 11 · 21:25J. Zlamal—141110113F. Cernota—1291241

LMay 5 · 21:58J. Zlamal—99100F. Cernota—1111123

LMay 5 · 21:25J. Zlamal—961241F. Cernota—111110113

LApr 9 · 20:25J. Zlamal—7770F. Cernota—1111113

LApr 2 · 21:25J. Zlamal—9111171F. Cernota—11413113

WMar 26 · 21:25J. Zlamal—11411113F. Cernota—811391

WMar 25 · 23:25J. Zlamal—1111123F. Cernota—67100

J. Zlamal10

WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920 WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751 WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113 LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162 WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990 WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113 LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100 WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762 LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133 WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113

F. Cernota10

LSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990 WSep 1 · 20:25F. Cernota1.7371111113T. Vorisek2.00115741 WSep 1 · 18:55M. Stusek1.9191111972F. Cernota1.80115611113 LAug 24 · 22:05M. Stusek1.911111129113F. Cernota1.8039141142 LAug 24 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.10111313133F. Cernota1.6721115111 WAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101 LAug 24 · 18:55M. Stusek2.388101112113F. Cernota1.53111291062 LAug 17 · 21:54O. Kadavy2.10101111113F. Cernota1.67125591 WAug 17 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.25116461F. Cernota1.5751111113 LAug 17 · 20:25F. Cernota2.00111111792J. Zlamal1.73139411113

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