TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447625
Played Aug 17Finished
Filip Cernota
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113119114711911
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:11 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Cernota above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 4-3
Point 7 set 1, 4-3 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 54.7%
7 points drawn · the score is 90 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Filip Cernota 44–54 Jaromir Zlamal Filip Cernota has won 44 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-54 in 98
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 10 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernota 1650 vs Zlamal 1815
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernota 20% vs Zlamal 60%
Zlamal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernota 30% vs Zlamal 70%
Zlamal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernota -4 · Zlamal -1
Cernota
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernota form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernota 2.00 / Zlamal 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zlamal)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12447625
Cernota2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 10 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Zlamal1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 87 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it87% 66 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernota6wins
AwayZlamal4wins
Cernota leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernota100%6 of 6
AwayZlamal100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernota6Zlamal4n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10
S2Cernota6Zlamal4n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10
S3Cernota5Zlamal5n = 10split evenly
S4Cernota4Zlamal3n = 7Cernota took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernotaZlamalC − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.235.0+1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernotaZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 199 vs 195 / 31954.3%61.1%108 / 199 vs 195 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalCernota 2.00/Zlamal 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 21:25F. Cernota—1291241J. Zlamal—141110113
WMay 5 · 21:58F. Cernota—1111123J. Zlamal—99100
WMay 5 · 21:25F. Cernota—111110113J. Zlamal—961241
WApr 9 · 20:25F. Cernota—1111113J. Zlamal—7770
WApr 2 · 21:25F. Cernota—11413113J. Zlamal—9111171
LMar 26 · 21:25F. Cernota—811391J. Zlamal—11411113
LMar 25 · 23:25F. Cernota—67100J. Zlamal—1111123
WMar 25 · 21:25F. Cernota—11116143J. Zlamal—9911121
WMar 19 · 22:25F. Cernota—11711113J. Zlamal—911471
LMar 5 · 22:25F. Cernota—10119101J. Zlamal—12811123
F. Cernota10
WSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113LSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 20:25F. Cernota1.7371111113T. Vorisek2.00115741WSep 1 · 18:55M. Stusek1.9191111972F. Cernota1.80115611113LAug 24 · 22:05M. Stusek1.911111129113F. Cernota1.8039141142LAug 24 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.10111313133F. Cernota1.6721115111WAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101LAug 24 · 18:55M. Stusek2.388101112113F. Cernota1.53111291062LAug 17 · 21:54O. Kadavy2.10101111113F. Cernota1.67125591WAug 17 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.25116461F. Cernota1.5751111113
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101
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