TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12452095
Played Aug 17Finished
Ondrej Kadavy
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012115115119––
Filip Cernota
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · Filip Cernota below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kadavy 1–0 Filip Cernota Filip Cernota has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cernota)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernota form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 2.10 / Cernota 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Cernota)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12452095
Kadavy2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 30 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Cernota1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 18 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKadavy1wins
AwayCernota0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKadavy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKadavyCernotaK − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.045.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyCernotaBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 308 vs 110 / 20157.5%54.7%177 / 308 vs 110 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernotaKadavy 2.10/Cernota 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Cernota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 18:55O. Kadavy—1110611113F. Cernota—81211772
O. Kadavy10
LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113WSep 1 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.8381111113D. Bochnak1.83119791WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101LSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.9181110121F. Strejc1.8011512143LAug 21 · 22:58T. Vorisek1.57121186113O. Kadavy2.25108111152WAug 21 · 20:55O. Kadavy2.50851111113D. Jicha1.5011115272
F. Cernota10
WSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113LSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 20:25F. Cernota1.7371111113T. Vorisek2.00115741WSep 1 · 18:55M. Stusek1.9191111972F. Cernota1.80115611113LAug 24 · 22:05M. Stusek1.911111129113F. Cernota1.8039141142LAug 24 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.10111313133F. Cernota1.6721115111WAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101LAug 24 · 18:55M. Stusek2.388101112113F. Cernota1.53111291062WAug 17 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.25116461F. Cernota1.5751111113LAug 17 · 20:25F. Cernota2.00111111792J. Zlamal1.73139411113
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