Ondrej Kadavy vs David Bochnak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13060259

Played Sep 1Finished

Ondrej Kadavy

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

811119117119––

David Bochnak

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingOndrej Kadavy above · David Bochnak below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 77 set 4, 11-9

77 points played in total.

H2H Ondrej Kadavy 65–35 David Bochnak David Bochnak has won 35 of their 100 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bochnak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bochnak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKadavy 1.83 / Bochnak 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Kadavy)-4.0pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13060259

Kadavy1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Bochnak1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKadavy8wins

AwayBochnak2wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKadavy100%3 of 3

AwayBochnak28.6%2 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kadavy3Bochnak7n = 10Bochnak took 7 of 10

S2Kadavy7Bochnak3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10

S3Kadavy7Bochnak3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10

S4Kadavy6Bochnak2n = 8Kadavy took 6 of 8

S5Kadavy3Bochnak1n = 4Kadavy took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKadavyBochnakK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.636.8+5.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKadavyBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 296 vs 368 / 59558.5%61.9%173 / 296 vs 368 / 595Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bochnak

Kadavy 1.83/Bochnak 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Bochnak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kadavy won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy—91111123D. Bochnak—1189101

WJul 14 · 16:25O. Kadavy—2111113143D. Bochnak—115615122

WJul 12 · 14:55O. Kadavy—11911113D. Bochnak—411031

WJul 10 · 21:25O. Kadavy—6111011113D. Bochnak—11712882

WJul 8 · 17:59O. Kadavy—61113113D. Bochnak—1151161

LJul 8 · 16:25O. Kadavy—71690D. Bochnak—1118113

WJul 5 · 14:30O. Kadavy—1111113D. Bochnak—8940

LJul 5 · 10:55O. Kadavy—43111182D. Bochnak—111126113

WJul 3 · 18:40O. Kadavy—171189113D. Bochnak—159111162

WJul 3 · 15:25O. Kadavy—91111113D. Bochnak—116941

O. Kadavy10

LSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133 WSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113 WSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292 WSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113 WSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101 LSep 1 · 15:55O. Kadavy2.25911101162D. Jicha1.57117127113 LSep 1 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.9181110121F. Strejc1.8011512143 LAug 21 · 22:58T. Vorisek1.57121186113O. Kadavy2.25108111152 WAug 21 · 20:55O. Kadavy2.50851111113D. Jicha1.5011115272 LAug 21 · 19:55O. Kadavy2.208516101T. Vorisek1.61111114123

D. Bochnak10

WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113 LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113 WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173 LSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122 WSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102 WSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572 LSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103 LSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113 LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113 LSep 1 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.7391111123D. Bochnak2.001189101

Upcoming Matches

O. Kadavy

Nothing scheduled

D. Bochnak1 of 2 neutral

Sep 7 · 18:55D. Bochnak—M. Brozek——Sep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17M. Kulisek4.50—

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