TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079655
Played Sep 4Finished
David Bochnak
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9119111191141210
Jachym Zacharda
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10
97 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 51–29 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 29 of their 80 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 1.40 / Zacharda 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Bochnak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13079655
Bochnak1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 130 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 98 of 123
Zacharda2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 16 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBochnak7wins
AwayZacharda3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBochnak100%6 of 6
AwayZacharda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bochnak6Zacharda4n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S2Bochnak6Zacharda4n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S3Bochnak5Zacharda5n = 10split evenly
S4Bochnak7Zacharda2n = 9Bochnak took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBochnakZachardaB − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.136.3+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 595 vs 125 / 25961.9%48.3%368 / 595 vs 125 / 259Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakBochnak 1.40/Zacharda 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak—1410511113J. Zacharda—121211572
LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak—1491161J. Zacharda—16114113
WSep 3 · 21:25D. Bochnak—12811113J. Zacharda—1011981
WAug 30 · 08:25D. Bochnak—1111113J. Zacharda—3760
WJul 16 · 16:55D. Bochnak—13114113J. Zacharda—1141161
LApr 17 · 16:55D. Bochnak—911681J. Zacharda—11611113
WApr 10 · 16:55D. Bochnak—11118113J. Zacharda—961191
WApr 6 · 17:25D. Bochnak—81111113J. Zacharda—112751
WApr 4 · 21:25D. Bochnak—12119143J. Zacharda—10611121
LJan 8 · 20:55D. Bochnak—96111172J. Zacharda—111198113
D. Bochnak10
WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173LSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122WSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103LSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113WSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
J. Zacharda10
LSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 20:25O. Kadavy1.53116711113J. Zacharda2.3811111292LSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113WSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113LSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113WSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113WSep 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.389570J. Zacharda1.531111113WSep 2 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.4091080J. Zacharda2.751112113LSep 2 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.208260M. Cerny1.611111113LSep 2 · 11:55J. Zacharda2.758911101D. Vesecky1.4011115123
Upcoming Matches
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J. Zacharda
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