TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058105
Played Sep 1Finished
Jaromir Zlamal
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Filip Cernota
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Filip Cernota below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 56.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Zlamal 55–45 Filip Cernota Filip Cernota has won 45 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-45 in 100
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 10 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zlamal 1817 vs Cernota 1673
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zlamal 60% vs Cernota 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zlamal 60% vs Cernota 40%
Zlamal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zlamal +1 · Cernota +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zlamal) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernota form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZlamal 1.67 / Cernota 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zlamal)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13058105
Zlamal1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 82 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Cernota2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZlamal4wins
AwayCernota6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCernota leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZlamal100%4 of 4
AwayCernota100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zlamal4Cernota6n = 10Cernota took 6 of 10
S2Zlamal3Cernota7n = 10Cernota took 7 of 10
S3Zlamal5Cernota5n = 10split evenly
S4Zlamal3Cernota4n = 7Cernota took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZlamalCernotaZ − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.3−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZlamalCernotaBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 322 vs 104 / 19061.5%54.7%198 / 322 vs 104 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.640.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalZlamal 1.67/Cernota 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 20:25J. Zlamal—8711101F. Cernota—11118123
WAug 17 · 20:25J. Zlamal—139411113F. Cernota—111111792
WAug 11 · 21:25J. Zlamal—141110113F. Cernota—1291241
LMay 5 · 21:58J. Zlamal—99100F. Cernota—1111123
LMay 5 · 21:25J. Zlamal—961241F. Cernota—111110113
LApr 9 · 20:25J. Zlamal—7770F. Cernota—1111113
LApr 2 · 21:25J. Zlamal—9111171F. Cernota—11413113
WMar 26 · 21:25J. Zlamal—11411113F. Cernota—811391
WMar 25 · 23:25J. Zlamal—1111123F. Cernota—67100
LMar 25 · 21:25J. Zlamal—9911121F. Cernota—11116143
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
F. Cernota10
WSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 20:25F. Cernota1.7371111113T. Vorisek2.00115741WSep 1 · 18:55M. Stusek1.9191111972F. Cernota1.80115611113LAug 24 · 22:05M. Stusek1.911111129113F. Cernota1.8039141142LAug 24 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.10111313133F. Cernota1.6721115111WAug 24 · 20:25F. Cernota2.0011118123J. Zlamal1.738711101LAug 24 · 18:55M. Stusek2.388101112113F. Cernota1.53111291062LAug 17 · 21:54O. Kadavy2.10101111113F. Cernota1.67125591WAug 17 · 21:25T. Vorisek2.25116461F. Cernota1.5751111113LAug 17 · 20:25F. Cernota2.00111111792J. Zlamal1.73139411113
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