TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058092
Played Sep 1Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811511––––
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 66.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 43–89 Jaromir Zlamal Martin Stusek has won 43 of their 132 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-89 in 132
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 46 in 132, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1728 vs Zlamal 1819
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 60% vs Zlamal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 50% vs Zlamal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -1 · Zlamal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zlamal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.50 / Zlamal 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Zlamal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13058092
Stusek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 82 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Zlamal1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 82 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek2wins
AwayZlamal8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZlamal87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek2Zlamal8n = 10Zlamal took 8 of 10
S2Stusek4Zlamal6n = 10Zlamal took 6 of 10
S3Stusek1Zlamal9n = 10Zlamal took 9 of 10
S4Stusek4Zlamal2n = 6Stusek took 4 of 6
S5Stusek1Zlamal2n = 3Zlamal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekZlamalS − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.438.6−5.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 681 vs 197 / 32246.7%61.2%318 / 681 vs 197 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalStusek 2.50/Zlamal 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 26 · 19:55M. Stusek—9730J. Zlamal—1111113
LAug 24 · 20:55M. Stusek—102120J. Zlamal—1211143
LAug 11 · 19:55M. Stusek—115461J. Zlamal—71111113
LJul 31 · 19:20M. Stusek—1181461J. Zlamal—131112113
LJul 28 · 19:55M. Stusek—91191182J. Zlamal—115111113
WJul 23 · 22:05M. Stusek—11117113J. Zlamal—871191
LJul 23 · 20:25M. Stusek—91191192J. Zlamal—116117113
LJun 25 · 15:25M. Stusek—7750J. Zlamal—1111113
WJun 22 · 19:50M. Stusek—911911113J. Zlamal—11411892
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
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