TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058345
Played Sep 1Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811119119––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 58.6%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 139–159 Tomas Vorisek Martin Stusek has won 139 of their 298 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
139-159 in 298
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 20 in 298, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1717 vs Vorisek 1853
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 60% vs Vorisek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 50% vs Vorisek 80%
Vorisek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek -2 · Vorisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.10 / Vorisek 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vorisek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13058345
Stusek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 82 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Vorisek1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it84% 75 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek4wins
AwayVorisek6wins
Vorisek leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek100%4 of 4
AwayVorisek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Stusek5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Stusek7Vorisek3n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S4Stusek0Vorisek4n = 4Vorisek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekVorisekS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.131.5+0.6per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 681 vs 415 / 80646.6%51.5%317 / 681 vs 415 / 806Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekStusek 2.10/Vorisek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 18:30M. Stusek—1111113T. Vorisek—4280
LAug 30 · 15:25M. Stusek—6111321T. Vorisek—11715113
LAug 28 · 20:50M. Stusek—1191131T. Vorisek—13119113
WAug 26 · 18:55M. Stusek—1111113T. Vorisek—6360
LAug 24 · 19:55M. Stusek—9690T. Vorisek—1111113
LAug 23 · 06:55M. Stusek—1181181T. Vorisek—13119113
LAug 14 · 20:25M. Stusek—7811111T. Vorisek—11117133
WAug 11 · 20:55M. Stusek—1111113T. Vorisek—6660
LAug 9 · 16:25M. Stusek—71070T. Vorisek—1112113
WAug 7 · 21:50M. Stusek—1111113T. Vorisek—9990
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760LSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133
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