TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091338
Played Sep 7Finished
David Jicha
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116116––––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held David Jicha at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 96–82 Tomas Vorisek Tomas Vorisek has won 82 of their 178 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 08:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jicha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
96-82 in 178
Jicha
Correct
gap of 14 in 178, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1755 vs Vorisek 1815
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 80% vs Vorisek 60%
Jicha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 70% vs Vorisek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +3 · Vorisek +2
Jicha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jicha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.73 / Vorisek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13091338
Jicha1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 53 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 40 of 54
Vorisek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 92 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha5wins
AwayVorisek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha75%3 of 4
AwayVorisek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Jicha5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jicha5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Jicha3Vorisek3n = 6split evenly
S5Jicha2Vorisek1n = 3Jicha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaVorisekJ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.7−0.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 354 vs 416 / 80551.1%51.7%181 / 354 vs 416 / 805Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekJicha 1.73/Vorisek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha—8125111T. Vorisek—111011133
WSep 2 · 18:25D. Jicha—2611812113T. Vorisek—287111092
LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha—115971T. Vorisek—61111113
LAug 28 · 22:10D. Jicha—4990T. Vorisek—1111113
LAug 28 · 19:20D. Jicha—8101113102T. Vorisek—1112811123
WAug 23 · 09:25D. Jicha—1711113T. Vorisek—15480
WAug 21 · 19:25D. Jicha—156118113T. Vorisek—131161192
WAug 16 · 09:25D. Jicha—1111113T. Vorisek—9650
LAug 14 · 22:29D. Jicha—91270T. Vorisek—1114113
WAug 14 · 21:25D. Jicha—51111123T. Vorisek—1198101
D. Jicha10
WSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760WSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113WSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 7 · 18:25D. Jicha2.101311113T. Vorisek1.6711760WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113
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