TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091336
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117118––––
Tomas Flicek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 63 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 14–11 Tomas Flicek Tomas Flicek has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1807 vs Flicek 1632
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Flicek 20%
Vorisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 50% vs Flicek 30%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Flicek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.73 / Flicek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13091336
Vorisek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 77 of 91
Flicek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 3 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwayFlicek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%3 of 3
AwayFlicek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek3Flicek7n = 10Flicek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek7Flicek3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S3Vorisek5Flicek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek5Flicek4n = 9Vorisek took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekFlicekV − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.6+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 804 vs 60 / 12451.6%48.4%415 / 804 vs 60 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.73/Flicek 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek—111110113T. Flicek—341251
WAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek—581111113T. Flicek—11117582
WAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek—1111113T. Flicek—8870
WAug 19 · 17:58T. Vorisek—11118163T. Flicek—7511141
LAug 19 · 17:25T. Vorisek—8118131T. Flicek—11511153
LMar 26 · 19:30T. Vorisek—61281162T. Flicek—1110117113
LMar 26 · 17:25T. Vorisek—471151T. Flicek—11114113
WMar 18 · 19:25T. Vorisek—91111123T. Flicek—1154101
LMar 18 · 15:55T. Vorisek—961161T. Flicek—11113113
LMar 12 · 18:25T. Vorisek—811571T. Flicek—11211113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182
T. Flicek10
LSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582WAug 27 · 17:25T. Flicek1.838121011113F. Strejc1.83111012882LAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek1.831111113T. Flicek1.838870WAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113
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