TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13090981
Played Sep 7Finished
Vit Benak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Benak above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vit Benak 20–27 Tomas Vorisek Vit Benak has won 20 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-27 in 47
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 7 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benak 1594 vs Vorisek 1801
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benak 40% vs Vorisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benak 60% vs Vorisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Benak -1 · Vorisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenak 2.00 / Vorisek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13090981
Benak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 6 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back40% 2 of 5
Vorisek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 77 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenak5wins
AwayVorisek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenak50%2 of 4
AwayVorisek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benak4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Benak6Vorisek4n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S3Benak4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S4Benak4Vorisek5n = 9Vorisek took 5 of 9
S5Benak3Vorisek2n = 5Benak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenakVorisekB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.441.9−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenakVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 148 vs 417 / 80858.1%51.6%86 / 148 vs 417 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekBenak 2.00/Vorisek 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 14:55V. Benak—119114123T. Vorisek—911911102
WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak—811811113T. Vorisek—11411892
WJul 26 · 14:30V. Benak—91112113T. Vorisek—1181091
LJul 26 · 10:55V. Benak—811961T. Vorisek—11511113
LJul 25 · 15:55V. Benak—71111862T. Vorisek—117311113
LJul 6 · 09:25V. Benak—114141232T. Vorisek—9111610113
LJun 1 · 17:25V. Benak—11105121T. Vorisek—91211143
WApr 27 · 17:25V. Benak—11111110113T. Vorisek—13861232
WApr 20 · 15:55V. Benak—11117113T. Vorisek—741161
LApr 15 · 14:55V. Benak—48100T. Vorisek—1111123
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892LJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
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