TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12360317
Played Aug 4Finished
David Jicha
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15171181198111210
Vit Benak
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeVit Benak to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 112 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vit Benak at 61.7%
112 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 2–6 Vit Benak David Jicha has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Benak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Benak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1713 vs Benak 1635
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 40% vs Benak 100%
Benak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 40% vs Benak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +2 · Benak +5
Benak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Benak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 2.20 / Benak 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Benak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12360317
Jicha2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 18 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Benak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite45% won 23 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it63% 17 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJicha2wins
AwayBenak6wins
5 of 8 to a deciderBenak leads 6–2, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha33.3%1 of 3
AwayBenak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha3Benak5n = 8Benak took 5 of 8
S2Jicha4Benak4n = 8split evenly
S3Jicha7Benak1n = 8Jicha took 7 of 8
S4Jicha1Benak6n = 7Benak took 6 of 7
S5Jicha1Benak4n = 5Benak took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricJichaBenakJ − BBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match42.042.00.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 357 vs 94 / 16250.4%58%180 / 357 vs 94 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenakJicha 2.20/Benak 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Benak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LDec 30 · 09:25D. Jicha—11711382V. Benak—911411113
LNov 23 · 16:05D. Jicha—8101171V. Benak—11126113
LOct 20 · 15:55D. Jicha—1091181V. Benak—12115113
LSep 28 · 09:25D. Jicha—91111952V. Benak—119611113
LJul 31 · 15:55D. Jicha—61111692V. Benak—113311113
LJun 22 · 17:25D. Jicha—11118882V. Benak—981111113
WJun 17 · 19:25D. Jicha—1214113V. Benak—101280
WJun 15 · 08:25D. Jicha—6121111113V. Benak—11149552
D. Jicha10
WSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113WSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
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