TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12374115
Played Aug 6Finished
David Jicha
Home
1.38
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111513115116––
Vit Benak
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held David Jicha at 54.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 5–6 Vit Benak David Jicha has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Jicha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1783 vs Benak 1607
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 100% vs Benak 40%
Jicha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 70% vs Benak 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +5 · Benak +1
Jicha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jicha) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 1.38 / Benak 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jicha)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12374115
Jicha1.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 36 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Benak2.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha4wins
AwayBenak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBenak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha50%2 of 4
AwayBenak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha4Benak6n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S2Jicha7Benak3n = 10Jicha took 7 of 10
S3Jicha9Benak1n = 10Jicha took 9 of 10
S4Jicha0Benak8n = 8Benak took 8 of 8
S5Jicha2Benak4n = 6Benak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaBenakJ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.1+1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 359 vs 96 / 16751.3%57.5%184 / 359 vs 96 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JichaJicha 1.38/Benak 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Jicha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 16:25D. Jicha—1111113V. Benak—8660
WAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha—311119123V. Benak—114811102
WAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha—1511118123V. Benak—178911102
LDec 30 · 09:25D. Jicha—11711382V. Benak—911411113
LNov 23 · 16:05D. Jicha—8101171V. Benak—11126113
LOct 20 · 15:55D. Jicha—1091181V. Benak—12115113
LSep 28 · 09:25D. Jicha—91111952V. Benak—119611113
LJul 31 · 15:55D. Jicha—61111692V. Benak—113311113
LJun 22 · 17:25D. Jicha—11118882V. Benak—981111113
WJun 17 · 19:25D. Jicha—1214113V. Benak—101280
D. Jicha10
WSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113WSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113WSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
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