TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12360003
Played Aug 4Finished
Vit Benak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811114811118119
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVit Benak above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 55.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vit Benak 19–27 Tomas Vorisek Vit Benak has won 19 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-27 in 46
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benak 1635 vs Vorisek 1689
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benak 80% vs Vorisek 20%
Benak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benak 40% vs Vorisek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Benak +4 · Vorisek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenak 2.00 / Vorisek 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vorisek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12360003
Benak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vorisek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 78 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it82% 61 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenak5wins
AwayVorisek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenak33.3%1 of 3
AwayVorisek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benak3Vorisek7n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Benak7Vorisek3n = 10Benak took 7 of 10
S3Benak4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S4Benak5Vorisek4n = 9Benak took 5 of 9
S5Benak2Vorisek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenakVorisekB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.60.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenakVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 162 vs 405 / 80158%50.6%94 / 162 vs 405 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekBenak 2.00/Vorisek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak—811811113T. Vorisek—11411892
WJul 26 · 14:30V. Benak—91112113T. Vorisek—1181091
LJul 26 · 10:55V. Benak—811961T. Vorisek—11511113
LJul 25 · 15:55V. Benak—71111862T. Vorisek—117311113
LJul 6 · 09:25V. Benak—114141232T. Vorisek—9111610113
LJun 1 · 17:25V. Benak—11105121T. Vorisek—91211143
WApr 27 · 17:25V. Benak—11111110113T. Vorisek—13861232
WApr 20 · 15:55V. Benak—11117113T. Vorisek—741161
LApr 15 · 14:55V. Benak—48100T. Vorisek—1111123
WApr 11 · 10:00V. Benak—51112113T. Vorisek—1191071
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
T. Vorisek10
WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
Upcoming Matches
V. Benak
Nothing scheduled
T. Vorisek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.