TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12371870
Played Aug 6Finished
Vit Benak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611611––––
David Jicha
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeVit Benak to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVit Benak above · David Jicha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vit Benak at 55.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vit Benak 6–5 David Jicha David Jicha has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Benak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benak 1596 vs Jicha 1771
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benak 60% vs Jicha 100%
Jicha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benak 60% vs Jicha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Benak +1 · Jicha +5
Jicha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenak 1.73 / Jicha 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benak)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12371870
Benak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 23 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it59% 17 of 29
Jicha2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog53% won 21 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back43% 9 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenak6wins
AwayJicha4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBenak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenak66.7%4 of 6
AwayJicha50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benak6Jicha4n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S2Benak3Jicha7n = 10Jicha took 7 of 10
S3Benak1Jicha9n = 10Jicha took 9 of 10
S4Benak8Jicha0n = 8Benak took 8 of 8
S5Benak4Jicha2n = 6Benak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenakJichaB − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.142.1−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenakJichaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 166 vs 183 / 35857.2%51.1%95 / 166 vs 183 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.739.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenakBenak 1.73/Jicha 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak—8660D. Jicha—1111113
LAug 4 · 18:39V. Benak—114811102D. Jicha—311119123
LAug 4 · 17:25V. Benak—178911102D. Jicha—1511118123
WDec 30 · 09:25V. Benak—911411113D. Jicha—11711382
WNov 23 · 16:05V. Benak—11126113D. Jicha—8101171
WOct 20 · 15:55V. Benak—12115113D. Jicha—1091181
WSep 28 · 09:25V. Benak—119611113D. Jicha—91111952
WJul 31 · 15:55V. Benak—113311113D. Jicha—61111692
WJun 22 · 17:25V. Benak—981111113D. Jicha—11118882
LJun 17 · 19:25V. Benak—101280D. Jicha—1214113
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
D. Jicha10
WSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113WSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102WAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102
Upcoming Matches
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D. Jicha
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