TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12371830
Played Aug 6Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111513611––
Vit Benak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeVit Benak to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vit Benak at 57.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 15–21 Vit Benak Filip Strejc has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Benak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-21 in 36
Benak
Correct
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1544 vs Benak 1596
Benak
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 0% vs Benak 40%
Benak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 20% vs Benak 60%
Benak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -5 · Benak -1
Strejc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Benak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 2.10 / Benak 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Benak)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12371830
Strejc2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 40 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Benak1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 23 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it59% 17 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc7wins
AwayBenak3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc100%3 of 3
AwayBenak42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc3Benak7n = 10Benak took 7 of 10
S2Strejc7Benak3n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S3Strejc5Benak5n = 10split evenly
S4Strejc6Benak3n = 9Strejc took 6 of 9
S5Strejc4Benak2n = 6Strejc took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcBenakS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.942.4+2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 465 vs 95 / 16646%57.2%214 / 465 vs 95 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenakStrejc 2.10/Benak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Benak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 1 · 18:15F. Strejc—791111163V. Benak—111196142
LJun 1 · 15:55F. Strejc—4680V. Benak—1111113
WApr 27 · 18:45F. Strejc—91311133V. Benak—11114111
WApr 27 · 15:55F. Strejc—61111113V. Benak—114671
WApr 20 · 14:55F. Strejc—117117113V. Benak—61181192
LApr 15 · 18:00F. Strejc—81151172V. Benak—117119113
LApr 15 · 16:55F. Strejc—811141162V. Benak—116167113
WApr 11 · 07:25F. Strejc—1111138113V. Benak—35151172
WApr 2 · 18:39F. Strejc—41112183V. Benak—11610161
WApr 2 · 17:25F. Strejc—1211119113V. Benak—107131152
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
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