TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12371867
Played Aug 6Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111199111141012
Vit Benak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Vit Benak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 27–19 Vit Benak Vit Benak has won 19 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-19 in 46
Vorisek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1722 vs Benak 1589
Vorisek
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Benak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 40% vs Benak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -1 · Benak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.80 / Benak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12371867
Vorisek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it81% 62 of 77
Benak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwayBenak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek42.9%3 of 7
AwayBenak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek7Benak3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek3Benak7n = 10Benak took 7 of 10
S3Vorisek6Benak4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S4Vorisek4Benak5n = 9Benak took 5 of 9
S5Vorisek2Benak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekBenakV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.60.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 803 vs 94 / 16450.6%57.3%406 / 803 vs 94 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.80/Benak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 16:25T. Vorisek—11411892V. Benak—811811113
LJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek—1181091V. Benak—91112113
WJul 26 · 10:55T. Vorisek—11511113V. Benak—811961
WJul 25 · 15:55T. Vorisek—117311113V. Benak—71111862
WJul 6 · 09:25T. Vorisek—9111610113V. Benak—114141232
WJun 1 · 17:25T. Vorisek—91211143V. Benak—11105121
LApr 27 · 17:25T. Vorisek—13861232V. Benak—11111110113
LApr 20 · 15:55T. Vorisek—741161V. Benak—11117113
WApr 15 · 14:55T. Vorisek—1111123V. Benak—48100
LApr 11 · 10:00T. Vorisek—1191071V. Benak—51112113
T. Vorisek10
WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182
V. Benak10
LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113LAug 4 · 18:39D. Jicha2.20311119123V. Benak1.61114811102LAug 4 · 17:25D. Jicha2.201511118123V. Benak1.61178911102WAug 4 · 16:25V. Benak2.00811811113T. Vorisek1.7311411892WAug 4 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.83911661V. Benak1.8311511113WJul 26 · 14:30T. Vorisek1.571181091V. Benak2.2591112113
Upcoming Matches
T. Vorisek
V. Benak
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.