TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076599
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210117––––
Martin Stusek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 159–139 Martin Stusek Martin Stusek has won 139 of their 298 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
159-139 in 298
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 20 in 298, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1806 vs Stusek 1785
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Stusek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 60% vs Stusek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -1 · Stusek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.83 / Stusek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13076599
Vorisek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Stusek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek6wins
AwayStusek4wins
Vorisek leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%6 of 6
AwayStusek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek6Stusek4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Vorisek5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorisek3Stusek7n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S4Vorisek4Stusek0n = 4Vorisek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekStusekV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.532.1−0.6per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 809 vs 319 / 67951.6%47%417 / 809 vs 319 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.83/Stusek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 18:30T. Vorisek—4280M. Stusek—1111113
WAug 30 · 15:25T. Vorisek—11715113M. Stusek—6111321
WAug 28 · 20:50T. Vorisek—13119113M. Stusek—1191131
LAug 26 · 18:55T. Vorisek—6360M. Stusek—1111113
WAug 24 · 19:55T. Vorisek—1111113M. Stusek—9690
WAug 23 · 06:55T. Vorisek—13119113M. Stusek—1181181
WAug 14 · 20:25T. Vorisek—11117133M. Stusek—7811111
LAug 11 · 20:55T. Vorisek—6660M. Stusek—1111113
WAug 9 · 16:25T. Vorisek—1112113M. Stusek—71070
LAug 7 · 21:50T. Vorisek—9990M. Stusek—1111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113
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