TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088680
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Stusek
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Stusek above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stusek 140–161 Tomas Vorisek Martin Stusek has won 140 of their 301 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 2.05 / Vorisek 1.70
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Vorisek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13088680
Stusek2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 84 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Vorisek1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 103 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 78 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek3wins
AwayVorisek7wins
Vorisek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek100%3 of 3
AwayVorisek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek3Vorisek7n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Stusek3Vorisek7n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S3Stusek6Vorisek4n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S4Stusek1Vorisek4n = 5Vorisek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekVorisekS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.534.2−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 680 vs 417 / 80746.9%51.7%319 / 680 vs 417 / 807Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekStusek 2.05/Vorisek 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 20:20M. Stusek—71070T. Vorisek—1112113
LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek—99110T. Vorisek—1111133
WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek—11811113T. Vorisek—811991
WAug 30 · 18:30M. Stusek—1111113T. Vorisek—4280
LAug 30 · 15:25M. Stusek—6111321T. Vorisek—11715113
LAug 28 · 20:50M. Stusek—1191131T. Vorisek—13119113
WAug 26 · 18:55M. Stusek—1111113T. Vorisek—6360
LAug 24 · 19:55M. Stusek—9690T. Vorisek—1111113
LAug 23 · 06:55M. Stusek—1181181T. Vorisek—13119113
LAug 14 · 20:25M. Stusek—7811111T. Vorisek—11117133
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991LSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113
T. Vorisek10
WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133LSep 1 · 20:55M. Stusek2.1011811113T. Vorisek1.67811991
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