TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029457
Played Aug 27Finished
Lukas Soucek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71110121151412811
Tomas Flicek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Flicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Soucek above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Flicek at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Soucek 13–14 Tomas Flicek Lukas Soucek has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Flicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Soucek 1562 vs Flicek 1673
Flicek
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soucek 20% vs Flicek 40%
Flicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soucek 20% vs Flicek 60%
Flicek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soucek -3 · Flicek -1
Soucek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Flicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoucek 2.00 / Flicek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Flicek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13029457
Soucek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Flicek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 9 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSoucek6wins
AwayFlicek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSoucek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSoucek100%4 of 4
AwayFlicek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soucek4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10
S2Soucek4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10
S3Soucek7Flicek3n = 10Soucek took 7 of 10
S4Soucek3Flicek5n = 8Flicek took 5 of 8
S5Soucek3Flicek0n = 3Soucek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoucekFlicekS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.5+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoucekFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 205 vs 66 / 13444.4%49.3%91 / 205 vs 66 / 134Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FlicekSoucek 2.00/Flicek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Flicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Flicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 18 · 16:55L. Soucek—10131181T. Flicek—12158113
WMar 12 · 16:55L. Soucek—71111113T. Flicek—113481
LMar 4 · 17:25L. Soucek—6940T. Flicek—1111113
WFeb 25 · 16:25L. Soucek—1111113T. Flicek—2670
LFeb 19 · 16:55L. Soucek—1061181T. Flicek—12118113
WFeb 4 · 15:55L. Soucek—13912113T. Flicek—11111061
WJan 28 · 19:40L. Soucek—116118113T. Flicek—91131182
WJan 28 · 16:55L. Soucek—8111112123T. Flicek—115614102
WJan 22 · 16:55L. Soucek—119911153T. Flicek—311118132
LJan 14 · 16:25L. Soucek—1011981T. Flicek—12711113
L. Soucek10
LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LApr 8 · 18:00L. Soucek1.80129651M. Stusek1.91101111113LApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.83161211113L. Soucek1.831810981LApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
T. Flicek10
LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582WAug 27 · 17:25T. Flicek1.838121011113F. Strejc1.83111012882LAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek1.831111113T. Flicek1.838870LAug 19 · 17:58T. Flicek1.837511141T. Vorisek1.8311118163WAug 19 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311511153T. Vorisek1.838118131LAug 19 · 15:55F. Strejc1.83113115113T. Flicek1.8391161192
Upcoming Matches
L. Soucek
Nothing scheduled
T. Flicek
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