TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029264
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511116117117––
Lukas Soucek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Lukas Soucek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 59.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 25–19 Lukas Soucek Lukas Soucek has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-19 in 44
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1815 vs Soucek 1555
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 260 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Soucek 20%
Vorisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 50% vs Soucek 20%
Vorisek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +2 · Soucek -4
Soucek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soucek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.67 / Soucek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13029264
Vorisek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 89 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 68 of 82
Soucek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek7wins
AwaySoucek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek83.3%5 of 6
AwaySoucek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek6Soucek4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Vorisek8Soucek2n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S3Vorisek6Soucek4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S4Vorisek2Soucek3n = 5Soucek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekSoucekV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.828.7+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekSoucekBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 813 vs 91 / 20551.3%44.4%417 / 813 vs 91 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.67/Soucek 2.10
Hit
What we said
56.2%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek—1111113L. Soucek—1940
WMar 18 · 18:25T. Vorisek—1111113L. Soucek—5650
WMar 12 · 19:30T. Vorisek—111113113L. Soucek—691581
WMar 12 · 15:55T. Vorisek—1111113L. Soucek—9580
WMar 4 · 17:55T. Vorisek—41111113L. Soucek—115841
LMar 1 · 15:45T. Vorisek—129691L. Soucek—101111113
LMar 1 · 13:25T. Vorisek—811781L. Soucek—11911113
WFeb 19 · 19:10T. Vorisek—1111133L. Soucek—44110
LFeb 19 · 15:55T. Vorisek—89100L. Soucek—1111123
WFeb 14 · 07:55T. Vorisek—711114113L. Soucek—11211162
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113
L. Soucek10
LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LApr 8 · 18:00L. Soucek1.80129651M. Stusek1.91101111113LApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.83161211113L. Soucek1.831810981LApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
Upcoming Matches
T. Vorisek1 of 3 neutral
L. Soucek
Nothing scheduled
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